為替日報（2018年9月27日）

おはようございます。

Shortmanです。

昨日はFOMCの声明が公表されました。

いつものように声明文比較：

2018年8月1日FOMC声明

景気・物価の現状

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Household spending and business fixed investment have grown strongly. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy remain near 2 percent. Indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

景気・物価の見通し

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that further gradual increases in the target range for the federal funds rate will be consistent with sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee’s symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium term. Risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced.

金融政策（FF金利誘導目標）

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1-3/4 to 2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.

投票結果

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Thomas I. Barkin; Raphael W. Bostic; Lael Brainard; Loretta J. Mester; Randal K. Quarles; and John C. Williams.

2018年9月26日FOMC声明

景気・物価の現状

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Household spending and business fixed investment have grown strongly. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy remain near 2 percent. Indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

景気・物価の見通し

金融政策（FF金利誘導目標）

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 2 to 2-1/4 percent.

投票結果

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Jerome H. Powell, Chairman; John C. Williams, Vice Chairman; Thomas I. Barkin; Raphael W. Bostic; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida; Esther L. George; Loretta J. Mester; and Randal K. Quarles.

参考：

ロイター, FOMC声明全文

貿易摩擦が懸念されてはいるが、FOMC景気判断は前回声明から全く変わっていない。

市場予想通り政策金利の誘導目標が0.25%引上げられ、2.00%～2.25%に。

経済見通しと金利見通しに大きな変更はなかったが、「accommodative（緩和的な）」という文言が削除された。

これは緩和政策の終了と受け止められる。

ここから先は Shortman会員限定です。

Shortman為替レポートの10日間無料購読キャンペーンはこちら

注意

投資は自己責任です。読者の投資判断の最終決定に、我々は一切関与しません。この情報を用いて読者の方が損失を被っても、我々は一切の責任を負いません。我々はNY市場が世界の金融市場の未来を決めていると考え、NY市場を中心に分析しております。我々が用いるデータ、チャート、ニュースは、誰でもインターネットで無料で用いることができるものだけを利用して、できるだけ正確に理解し、できるだけ簡潔に、かつ、わかりやすく皆様に伝えられるように心がけております。また、個別株の分析は行いません。先物（株価指数・為替・商品・一部オプション）のトレードに必要な情報のみ提供しています。